Hello,
I have quite a few strategies that I use in my betting:
1.
For me, it’s that I have picked out 7 teams from Europethat I Bet ONLY away
so, my 7 away teams are:
FC Bayern Munich
Chelsea FC
Manchester United
Real Madrid
FC Barcelona
AC Milan
Juventus Turin
Now to the actual system. For example, I bet on Bayern in the next game in Cologne. If they don’t win, I bet against Bielefeld so much that I am TOTALLY plus again, etc.
2.
Success depends very much on chance, but to minimise this factor I have 3 simple points.
a) I bet at odds of 1.8.
b) Never combine.
It takes much longer until I have a sum, but it is safer. e.g. 10 EUR on 2 teams odds 1,8 & 2,0 2 single bets, the one with 2,0 I lose -☻ 20 EUR total stake; -10 loss +18 profit makes the result -2. With a combination with 20 EUR stake either 36 EUR profit or 20 loss.
c) I avoid smaller leagues like Poland or so, because everyone wins there.
3.
Only single bets are played; starting capital is 100 EUR:
I proceed according to the following pattern: I bet 100 EUR on my first bet; if this is lost, the next bet is played with double the stake – until I win one.
If the bet is won, I take 20% of the effective profit and play the next bet with the rest (e.g. 100 x 1.65 = 65 EUR effective profit – 20% = 52 EUR next bet).
4.
Combi and system bets are really only played to keep the stake moderate, not to lose everything in case of a mistake, and in the best case to drive home a massive profit with a manageable stake.
A story: I have 500 euros on the clock and put the money on 5 individual bets with 100 euros each at odds of 1.40. If I win all 5 bets, I have made 700 euros from the 500 euros. If I win only 4 bets, I have 560 euros and a plus of 60 euros, if I win only 3 bets, I still have 420 euros and a loss of 80 euros. If I actually get only 2 right bets, I still have 280 euros.
With a combination, if I make a mistake, I lose everything anyway, but if I win all my bets, I’m well into the four-digit range and I can even invite a friend to the brothel.
In the case of a system bet, if I make two mistakes, I’m back to fluting, if I make only one mistake, I’m about out of my stake again.
So for those who, like me, have made up their minds not to make a quick buck, the single bet can only be interesting in the medium term and the combination can only serve as an additional thrill.
Ma Budder bei die Fische, of course I also play the inventions of my brother Valentin, but, and most people don’t know this, I also work part-time and have already worked out the loss-making thrill beforehand, so to speak, and have accepted the minus from system bets and combos, or have learned to compensate for it with single bets.
If you want to “survive” here for a long time, you simply have to be frugal and have made friends with a low return on your financial possibilities. A 10 percent increase in value per month is fantastic and means a discreet doubling over the year. No bank that I know of offers its customers anything like that kind of interest…
5.
Every bettor has his own particular strategy for success. If it’s good, you should stick to it. There are as many bettors as there are strategies.
Some play combos in the system, some only bet from a certain quota and others bet on the result.
The following strategy: It is clear that there are 3 possible outcomes for a single bet. This means that the chance of winning is 33.33%.
Some betting shops offer additional or special bets on top of the actual bets. I choose these games.
For example, the double chance – you bet 1X, X2, 12, and that gives you a chance of winning of 66.66%. However, the odds are not as high, 1.25 or 1.30 depending on the game.
Or I bet a game with under/over possibility. The odds are 50% and it doesn’t matter who wins or if the game ends in a draw. The odds are also good with this type of bet and are between 1.6 and 2.05.
6.
Project Half Time Draw
Aim: The aim of the project is to win an average of 60% of the games in order to achieve a continuous increase in the total capital. Since there will be an average of 2 odds, this goal is achievable as soon as more than every second tip is correct.
System: In this project, bets are always placed on a draw at half-time. There are several rules that must be strictly adhered to.
Rules:
No.1
-Only games in which I have current statistics for the last 5-10 games are taken into account. I can choose whether I only take into account the last 5,6,7,8,9 or even all 10 games. Exceptions remain reserved, but the stake will then be limited to 10%!
No.2
-Friendly matches are not taken into account.
No.3
Matches with a goal difference of at least “4” at the end or at least “3” at half-time can be deleted from the evaluation, depending on the assessment. The background to this is a falsification of the probability if an opponent had an opponent in the statistics who was too easy or too difficult.
No.4
-Only teams with at least 60% of their matches finished with an X at half-time are taken. [p1,p2]☻=60%
No.5
-The stakes (see below) are based on the combination probability of both teams [p1+p2]/2=Y
No.6
-All probabilities are rounded up or down to whole numbers.
No.7
-If it is not possible for me to make an evaluation between picks, then the stake for the following picks is calculated according to the total capital of the last evaluation.
No.8
As an alternative to the total matches, it is also possible to include only the home balance of the home team or the away balance of the away team in the statistics. In this case, rule no. 4 also applies.
No.9
Bad days are followed by good days!
Stakes
The stakes are based on the expected probability as a percentage of the total capital.
Combination probability: Stake:
60 – 70% probability = 10% stake
70 – 80% probability = 15% stake
80 – 90% probability = 20% stake
90 – 100% probability = 25% stake
7.
Project Half Time Draw
So,I have a few more systems:
1. two-man combos with relatively high odds
2. combi bets with 4-6 games and medium odds
3. combi bets with 6-10 games and low odds
4. system bets (e.g. 2 out of 3 or 3 out of 4) with very high odds
