Hello everyone,

I have come up with a small betting system which I used in part during the 2006 World Cup. As you can see from the title, it’s a live bet on an underdog that is to be converted into a surbetduring the game. Of course, betting exchanges are ideal for this purpose (I personally tested the system in two games; once it went completely to shit and once I was particularly lucky; I will continue to test the system during the Bundesliga season).

Now for the procedure: You bake a certain amount X on the outside right before the match (highest odds); the quota should be above 10 Now it’s a case of wait and see and hopethat the outsider will ‘survive’the first quarter of an houror 20 minutes, ideally even take the lead. During this time the odds fall in favour of the underdog, as he is not as bad as many had previously assessed him after all. If you nowlayon the outsider, a gainbetween 10 and 20% is realistic.

A small example to illustrate and explain the different betting patterns and their consequences: We take a fictitious match Bayern Munich vs. Hansa Rostock. Odds Rostock back 15; stake 50 Euro Now watch the first 20 minutes of the match (and possibly shiver a bit)

Three possibilities of the score:

– The score is Draw The Quote for Rostock has in the meantime fallen; let’s say to 12. If you nowlay 62.5 Euros on Rostock, you have the bet in the bag and earned 25% profit (Profit (%) = Quote lay / Quote back -1 -☻ 15/12 -1 = 25% ).
However, you can usually save 10 to 20% of your stake, i.e. if you lay on Rostock, you can save at least 10 to 20 euros of your stake.
If you now lay on Rostock, you can triple or quintuple your stake. Or you can speculate on the underdog really winning and then collect the 15 odds.

Notes:

– The odds on the underdog should be over 10 At lower odds, this also falls less. Here, the odds for a draw then fall much more pronouncedly.
– One should pick the right teams for this type of bet. Thinking back to the last Bundesliga season, Bayern would have been a really good tip Many games they won firstby a goal in the second half Goal machines like Bremen should be avoided; so switching on your wits would be an advantage.
I hope some players can do something with this strategy