You always win in the long run with my tip. In principle, I ALWAYS bet on a draw. I don’t go to the trouble of picking a particular team that often plays to a draw, but always bet on any game in which the odds of both teams are not too far apart (maximum 1.5).
Example: Leverkusen against Bremen
Leverkusen 1,5 / X 3,2 / Bremen 1,9
Here I would bet on X
Munich vs. Duisburg where Munich has 1.2 and Duisburg 4.75 I would not bet on because Munich will most likely win.
My strategy then looks like this:
I choose a match on a betting exchange and bet 1 Euro on a draw. If one of the two teams wins, I choose a new game and bet again on a draw, but this time I bet 2 euros. If one of the teams wins again, I choose another game and bet 4 euros. So I always double my bet until I have won a bet and then start again with 1 euro. Since the odds on a draw are always between 2.9 and 4 and you double your bet until you win, if your bet is correct, you get all your money back and a nice little profit on top.
Of course, you need a certain amount to be able to always double. That is only partly true. Because I ALWAYS take games from teams that are relatively equally strong or have similar odds of winning, the chance of winning a bet is very high On average I win every 3rd to 4th bet. If I am only right on the 4th bet, I will have bet 1,- + 2,- + 4,- + 8,- i.e. 15 Euros. With average odds of 3, I have made 24 euros on the 4th bet with a stake of 8 euros (8 euros x odds 3 = 24 euros) 24 euros – 15 euros stake = 9 euros pure profit. That is a profit of 36%.
With a higher stake, the profit is of course even greater.
I hope I could give someone a good tip. I’m very happy with this strategy.