Hello,

Here is my betting strategy. It is especially suitable for newcomers, because it follows a clear plan, but you need a little experience to be able to control the odds in system bets exactly.

The whole thing works like this:

You set a sum that you can cope with as a maximum loss for the entry, let’s say 50 € (of course you can also do it with 50,000 €).
 
You divide this sum into X betting rounds and give yourself a fixed rotation, let’s say 1x betting per week and 5 betting rounds. This results in a stake of 10 € per round that you can “miss” 5 times without risking more than the maximum loss.
 
Basically, as long as you do not make a loss, the number of betting rounds is increased. Let’s say, for example, that in the first round we make €12 out of the €10 we bet. Then we will have made up the stake and won €2. More about what happens with the 2 € later.
 

The system is now set up in such a way that, depending on your knowledge and insight (and time for research), you select more or fewer bets that have low odds. Let’s say 5 pieces. If you play offline, i.e. place your bet in a betting shop, you transfer the bets into the local simulator as a 4-out-of-5 bet and make sure that the lowest (!) winning odds cover the fee, that’s important!
 
Then you add, for example, 2 bets with slightly higher odds that you have a good feeling about, also from other sports that you know something about (for me, for example, winter sports) and that basically have slightly higher odds (for me, for example, winning the biathlon, there the odds start at ~2.5).
 
In the example, the whole thing is played as a 4-out-of-7 tip WITHOUT (!!!) a bank. 5 tips are relatively safe, and even if 1 of them misses, (4) applies, so no loss. The two “exotics” then ensure the right profit when they hit. Logically, this is not always the case, so be patient!
What do you do with winnings? The long-term goal is to increase the stakes, but without losing. The short-term goal is to make up for initial losses. In the worst case, we completely blow the first 5 bets. Then you have to consider whether to save a little and then start all over again or leave it altogether.

Let’s assume that the first 2 bets went wrong (50 € – 20 € = 30 €). Nevertheless, we stick to the plan! So the 3rd time, 10 € are bet again (30 € – 10 € = 20 €), exactly according to “Schema F”! Let’s assume that the 3rd time the profit (gross, i.e. with stake) is 18 €, then the 18 € go to the “start account”, then we now have 20 € + 18 € = 38 €. The 4th time we bet (38 € – 10 € = 28 €), and the 5th time (28 € – 10 € = 18 €) the gross profit is 17 €. Then we end up with 18 € + 17 € = 35 € after the set 5 entry rounds and have 3 rounds of “free play”. Everything remains as it is!

Everything remains as it is, that is the very basis of this strategy. Of course, this can go on for a long time. But let’s assume that we win a little more, for example 35 € – 10 € stake = 25 € net profit. What do we do with it? Well, the girlfriend gets a nice bouquet of flowers because we spend so much at the betting company and here in the simulator! No, of course not! We mentally create a new account and, with a little luck, fill it so that at some point there are 100 € in it, i.e. double the maximum loss.

From then on we can bet double that and have our initial 5 rounds of play again, but this time without losing anything, even if we miss 5 times. Of course, this only applies when an initial loss is balanced again! Only then are we back to +/- 0 €!

When you have reached that point, you should think about your greed. Betting should remain a leisure activity that makes watching sports more exciting, not the main source of income, just like any risky investment! Sports betting is no different from gambling on high-risk stock market notes! However, especially at low odds, the risk in sports betting is lower than, say, leveraged securities on exotic currencies and similar stuff, simply because in sports betting the risk factors are not smaller, but they are fewer. Even with coaches and a 4th referee, there are only 28 players on the pitch at a football match (22 players, 2 coaches, 1 referee, 2 linesmen, 1 assistant) instead of 100,000s on the stock exchange who are itching for money or have a fart stuck in their pockets.

I would set 10% of the monthly household net income as a manageable limit. And even a monthly rate of 1.02 with a constant investment (no compound interest) results in an interest rate of a whopping 24% over the year! Ask a bank for 24%! With a monthly household net income of 2,000 €, this makes 12 x 2,000 € x 10% x 1.24 = 2,976 € per year. Without interest, the income divided over the following 12 months increases to 2,248 €. So you could gamble with 248 € per month already in the second year without making a loss (assuming the annual wage adjustment to compensate for inflation). Calculated over a further 5 years, this makes a handsome profit of 6,500 €. With a one-time (!) starting capital of 50 € (!).