Hello to all enthusiastic betting strategists,

Leagues where the strategy has been tried and tested: Bundesliga, Premier League, Primera Division

Explanation: The numbers behind the games mean the expected probability of winning. The results in brackets are the expected results. The results outside the brackets are the results that actually occurred.

Now for the strategy: After 2 years of betting and a few losses, I have come to the conclusion that betting on draws is the most profitable. These occur quite often and have the best odds on the market. Now it is not enough to play the normal draw odds, because otherwise it would be very difficult to beat the market. Since the result at half-time very often corresponds to the actual outcome of the match, I have refined this draw strategy.

I only bet on half-time / final score draws, but I don’t bet on every game. To pick the games to bet on, I look at the first and second sides. The first page helps me to calculate the probabilities and the second page helps me to compare these probabilities with the given current bookmaker odds.

Example evaluation 22nd matchday Premier League: 3 games have gone X/X, whereby the average odds for this are usually 5. If you had bet X/X on each match, you would have made a profit of 5 units. Please note the following: We do not bet on every game X/X but also bet Over 3.5 times depending on the probability (for this the odds are usually around 3.0).

With some Over 3.5 bets we achieve even better results on some match days than with X/X bets anyway. For this we simply look at the expected results in brackets and if there are 3 or more goals, we bet this match as Over 3.5, if it is not fixed as an X/X bet, as in the example with Tottenham.

Manchester United we would have bet Over 3.5 and lost, but that happens. Of course, if you have the time for live betting, you can even secure your winnings before the end of the match.

I have been using this betting system since the 1st matchday of the Bundesliga and the Premier League, i.e. since August. I have achieved a profit of 50 units in the Bundesliga and 70 units in the Premier League, which would correspond to a capital increase of over 100%. No bank offers such an investment.